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Cavallini_2024_Elsevier_Labour Eco_Not the right time
Journal article

Not the right time for children : unemployment, fertility, and abortion

  • Cavallini, Flavia Facoltà di scienze economiche, Università della Svizzera italiana, Svizzera
  • 2024
Published in:
  • Labour Economics. - 2024, vol. 87, p. 102492
Fertility choice
Abortion ratio
Local economic conditions
Unemployment rate
Shift-share
English I analyze the effect of local unemployment rates on fertility rates, abortion rates, and the abortions to pregnancies ratio, combining population statistics and administrative data on induced abortions performed in Italy between 2004 and 2016. Using a shift-share instrument measuring labor demand, I exploit demand-driven shocks to unemployment. The findings indicate that both childbearing and abortions behave pro-cyclically, thus suggesting that changes in fertility rates arise not just from changes in planned pregnancy but also from a higher incidence of abortions. These effects are driven by women above 25 years old, and are particularly large in the 35–49 age group, while younger women are largely unaffected.
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Language
  • English
Classification
Economics
License
CC BY
Open access status
hybrid
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Persistent URL
https://n2t.net/ark:/12658/srd1331137
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