<oai_dc:dc xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:oai_dc="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xsi:schemaLocation="http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc/ http://www.openarchives.org/OAI/2.0/oai_dc.xsd">
  <dc:creator>Patuelli, Roberto</dc:creator>
  <dc:creator>Reggiani, Aura</dc:creator>
  <dc:creator>Nijkamp, Peter</dc:creator>
  <dc:creator>Schanne, Norbert</dc:creator>
  <dc:date>2009</dc:date>
  <dc:description xmlns:ns0="xml" ns0:lang="en">In this paper, we present a review of various computational experiments  – and consequent results – concerning Neural Network (NN) models  developed for regional employment forecasting. NNs are widely used in  several fields because of their flexible specification structure. Their  utilization in studying/predicting economic variables, such as employment  or migration, is justified by the ability of NNs of learning from data, in  other words, of finding functional relationships – by means of data –  among the economic variables under analysis. A series of NN  experiments is presented in the paper. Using two data sets on German  NUTS 3 districts (326 and 113 labour market districts in the former West  and East Germany, respectively), the results emerging from the  implementation of various NN models – in order to forecast variations in  full-time employment – are provided and discussed In our approach,  single forecasts are computed by the models for each district. Different  specifications of the NN models are first tested in terms of: (a)  explanatory variables; and (b) NN structures. The average statistical  results of simulated out-of-sample forecasts on different periods are  summarized and commented on. In addition to variable and structure  specification, the choice of NN learning parameters and internal  functions is also critical to the success of NNs. Comprehensive testing  of these parameters is, however, limited in the literature. A sensitivity  analysis is therefore carried out and discussed, in order to evaluate  different combinations of NN parameters. The paper concludes with  methodological and empirical remarks, as well as with suggestions for  future research.</dc:description>
  <dc:format>application/pdf</dc:format>
  <dc:identifier>https://n2t.net/ark:/12658/srd1318010</dc:identifier>
  <dc:identifier>https://susi.usi.ch/global/documents/318010</dc:identifier>
  <dc:identifier>https://susi.usi.ch/documents/318010/files/wp0903.pdf</dc:identifier>
  <dc:language>eng</dc:language>
  <dc:relation>info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/ark/12658/srd1318010</dc:relation>
  <dc:rights>info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess</dc:rights>
  <dc:rights>License undefined</dc:rights>
  <dc:subject>info:eu-repo/classification/udc/33</dc:subject>
  <dc:title xmlns:ns1="xml" ns1:lang="en">Neural networks for cross-sectional employment forecasts : a comparison of model specifications for Germany</dc:title>
  <dc:type>http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_816b</dc:type>
</oai_dc:dc>
